Earth Science Frontiers ›› 2025, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 376-387.DOI: 10.13745/j.esf.sf.2025.4.13

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Source apportionment of nitrate in groundwater based on correlation monitoring indicators in Liaodong Bay

XU Donghui(), LI Tao*(), LIN Yanzhu, CHEN Tianfei   

  1. China Institute of Geo-Environment Monitoring, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2025-01-15 Revised:2025-03-27 Online:2025-07-25 Published:2025-08-04

Abstract:

In this study, we developed an integrated pollution source apportionment framework to investigate nitrate origins in groundwater within the Liaodong Bay region. By analyzing 51 shallow groundwater samples, we employed the Expanded Durov diagram, Pearson correlation analysis, and random forest algorithm to identify nine monitoring indicators significantly correlated with nitrate concentrations, including TDS, SO 4 2 -, and Ca2+. The Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) method was applied to quantify nitrate pollution sources in typical mountainous areas. Results revealed that the predominant hydrochemical type is HCO3·Cl-Na·Ca, with a nitrate exceedance rate of 20% (relative to GB/T 14848-2017) and pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Source apportionment of nitrate contamination identified two dominant sources: agricultural fertilizer application (57.27%) and processes associated with seawater intrusion (42.52%). Key indicators such as TDS, SO 4 2 -, and Ca2+ exhibit strong co-variation patterns, indicating shared pollution pathways. The integrated framework of “multi-method integration, screening of correlated indicators, and quantitative source apportionment” established in this study provides a scientific foundation for optimizing groundwater pollution monitoring networks and formulating targeted mitigation strategies for nitrate in coastal regions.

Key words: Liaodong Bay, groundwater, nitrate, PMF, random forest

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