机器学习在地下水科学中的前沿进展与挑战

doi:10.13745/j.esf.sf.2025.10.19

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

地下水是全球淡水资源的重要组成部分,是保障可用水资源安全、生态系统稳定与人类社会可持续发展的关键支撑。作为一个深埋地下、动态变化且高度非均质的自然系统,地下水系统的观测、建模与管理长期面临诸多挑战,例如监测点位分布稀疏和分布不均、物理过程高度非线性等。近年来,随着以机器学习方法为主的人工智能技术在特征提取、高维非线性建模和优化求解等多方面展现出的巨大潜力,推动地下水科学正逐步迈向数据驱动与智能建模相融合的新阶段。本文围绕地下水科学中的三类核心科学问题——要素刻画、过程建模与管理优化,系统性综述了机器学习在地下水研究中的典型应用场景与前沿进展,涵盖含水层结构刻画、水位水量与水质分析、正演预测、反向模拟、机制融合与地下水水资源管理等,并在此基础上归纳了以“科学问题-数据驱动-模型选取-结果分析”为核心的机器学习方法在地下水科学中的研究框架。针对当前研究仍面临的若干关键挑战,如物理约束融合不足、模型泛化能力弱、结果可解释性差等问题,本文进一步探讨了未来的发展方向,包括多源异构数据融合、物理先验嵌入与因果推理方法等。本文旨在为地下水科学中机器学习方法的应用提供研究框架,并为融合机器学习的地下水智能化发展进行展望。

关键词: 地下水科学, 机器学习方法, 研究框架, 前沿进展

Abstract:

Groundwater is a vital component of the global freshwater supply and plays a critical role in ensuring the water resource security,maintaining ecosystem stability,and supporting the sustainable development of human society. As a deeply buried,dynamically evolving,and highly heterogeneous natural system,groundwater poses persistent challenges in observation,modeling,and management,primarily due to the sparsity and uneven distribution of monitoring points and the strong nonlinearity of subsurface physical processes. In recent years,the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence—particularly machine learning—has demonstrated significant potential in feature extraction,high-dimensional nonlinear modeling,and optimization,thereby driving groundwater science into a new paradigm that integrates data-driven approaches with intelligent modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of machine learning applications in addressing three core scientific problems in groundwater research: element characterization,process modeling,and management optimization. Key topics include aquifer structure identification,groundwater level,storage and quality analysis,forward simulation,inverse modeling,physics-informed modeling,and groundwater resource management. Based on these developments,a generalized research framework is proposed,structured around the cycle of “scientific problem-data-driven modeling-model selection-result interpretation.” Given existing challenges such as limited incorporation of physical constraints,weak generalization capability,and poor model interpretability,this study also discusses future directions,including the integration of multi-source heterogeneous data,embedding of physical priors,and the use of causal inference methods. This work aims to provide a conceptual and methodological foundation for the application of machine learning in groundwater science and to outline pathways toward developing intelligent and sustainable groundwater systems.

Key words: groundwater science, machine learning methods, research framework, frontier advances

中图分类号:

康金正, 莫绍星, 康学远, 党婧萱, 程迟吉太, 徐培杰, 施小清. 机器学习在地下水科学中的前沿进展与挑战[J]. 地学前缘, 2026, 33(1): 483-499.

KANG Jinzheng, MO Shaoxing, KANG Xueyuan, DANG Jingxuan, CHENG Chijitai, XU Peijie, SHI Xiaoqing. Frontier advances and challenges of machine learning in groundwater science[J]. Earth Science Frontiers, 2026, 33(1): 483-499.

图/表 3

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归纳核心	问题	数据任务类型	机器学习模型	特点
要素刻画 (自监督任务)	含水层结构刻画	以图像数据为主, 向多模态数据融合方向发展	主成分分析(PCA)	特征值降维
			卷积自编码器(CAE)	比PCA更适用于高维问题
			变分自编码器(CVAE)	比CAE更适用于非高斯储层刻画
			对抗神经网络	比自编码结构生成结构更保真
			对抗自编码器(AAE)	适用于非高斯储层刻画
			深度扩散模型(Diffusion)	多模态数据融合更灵活且更保真
	水位水量动态描述	序列数据	全链接神经网络(FCN)	适用问题灵活度高
			随机森林(RF)	可用于极度缺失数据填补
			克里金-支持向量机(UK-SVR)	相比于单一模型精度更高
			循环神经网络(RNN)	处理长时序问题的填补
			长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)	比RNN捕捉长时序依赖关系更高
			Transformer	比LSTM精度高和计算高效
	水质因子聚类分析	离散数据	K均值算法(K-means)	实现简单,计算高效
			模糊均值聚类(FCM)	允许一个样本多个类
			密度聚类(DBSCAN)	适用于噪声数据聚类
			卷积神经网络(CNN)	评估和填补区域水质数据
过程建模 (监督任务)	正演预测	图像数据与序列数据	卷积神经网络(CNN)	构建高维数据间的映射关系
			残差卷积神经网络(ResNet)	相比于CNN精度更高
			U型神经网络(U-net)	网络结构提高预测精度
			图神经网络(GNN)	非结构网格处理
			贝叶斯神经网络(BNN)	可以提供模型不确定性
			长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)	适用于水位、水量和水质序列数据预测
			门控循环神经网络(GRU)	相比于LSTM训练时间短
			Transformer	精度高和计算高效
	反演模拟	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	卷积+循环神经网络(CNN+LSTM)	构建端到端替代模型
			模拟退火,差分进化,粒子群算法	智能优化算法,实现简单无需梯度
			深度数据同化算法(DA(DL))	更适用于非高斯场反演
			多模态优化算法(MultiModal)	避免集合算法的“集合崩溃”
	机制挖掘	图像数据与序列数据	内嵌物理神经网络(PINN)	提高网络物理意义和精度
			理论引导神经网络(TGNN)	克服PINN高维采样难题
			深度稀疏框架(DeepGS)	对物理方程进行重构
管理优化 (混合任务)	水位调控与水量开采分配	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	非支配排序遗传算法Ⅱ(NSGA-II)	多目标优化效果表现优异
	水位调控与水量开采分配	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	强化学习方法(RL)	非线性、非平稳优化效果好
	地下水水质治理	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	复合策略优化算法(SCE-UA)	同时优化修复井位置和修复液注入策略
			深度置信网络(DBN)+粒子群算法(PSO)	节约优化时间的同时达到治理要求
			卷积神经网络+非支配排序遗传算法Ⅱ	大幅节约优化时间

归纳核心	问题	数据任务类型	机器学习模型	特点
要素刻画 (自监督任务)	含水层结构刻画	以图像数据为主, 向多模态数据融合方向发展	主成分分析(PCA)	特征值降维
			卷积自编码器(CAE)	比PCA更适用于高维问题
			变分自编码器(CVAE)	比CAE更适用于非高斯储层刻画
			对抗神经网络	比自编码结构生成结构更保真
			对抗自编码器(AAE)	适用于非高斯储层刻画
			深度扩散模型(Diffusion)	多模态数据融合更灵活且更保真
	水位水量动态描述	序列数据	全链接神经网络(FCN)	适用问题灵活度高
			随机森林(RF)	可用于极度缺失数据填补
			克里金-支持向量机(UK-SVR)	相比于单一模型精度更高
			循环神经网络(RNN)	处理长时序问题的填补
			长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)	比RNN捕捉长时序依赖关系更高
			Transformer	比LSTM精度高和计算高效
	水质因子聚类分析	离散数据	K均值算法(K-means)	实现简单,计算高效
			模糊均值聚类(FCM)	允许一个样本多个类
			密度聚类(DBSCAN)	适用于噪声数据聚类
			卷积神经网络(CNN)	评估和填补区域水质数据
过程建模 (监督任务)	正演预测	图像数据与序列数据	卷积神经网络(CNN)	构建高维数据间的映射关系
			残差卷积神经网络(ResNet)	相比于CNN精度更高
			U型神经网络(U-net)	网络结构提高预测精度
			图神经网络(GNN)	非结构网格处理
			贝叶斯神经网络(BNN)	可以提供模型不确定性
			长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)	适用于水位、水量和水质序列数据预测
			门控循环神经网络(GRU)	相比于LSTM训练时间短
			Transformer	精度高和计算高效
	反演模拟	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	卷积+循环神经网络(CNN+LSTM)	构建端到端替代模型
			模拟退火,差分进化,粒子群算法	智能优化算法,实现简单无需梯度
			深度数据同化算法(DA(DL))	更适用于非高斯场反演
			多模态优化算法(MultiModal)	避免集合算法的“集合崩溃”
	机制挖掘	图像数据与序列数据	内嵌物理神经网络(PINN)	提高网络物理意义和精度
			理论引导神经网络(TGNN)	克服PINN高维采样难题
			深度稀疏框架(DeepGS)	对物理方程进行重构
管理优化 (混合任务)	水位调控与水量开采分配	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	非支配排序遗传算法Ⅱ(NSGA-II)	多目标优化效果表现优异
	水位调控与水量开采分配	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	强化学习方法(RL)	非线性、非平稳优化效果好
	地下水水质治理	图像数据、序列数据与优化问题相结合	复合策略优化算法(SCE-UA)	同时优化修复井位置和修复液注入策略
			深度置信网络(DBN)+粒子群算法(PSO)	节约优化时间的同时达到治理要求
			卷积神经网络+非支配排序遗传算法Ⅱ	大幅节约优化时间