Earth Science Frontiers ›› 2025, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 60-77.DOI: 10.13745/j.esf.sf.2025.4.63

Previous Articles     Next Articles

A knowledge-data driven interpretable intelligent mineral prediction: A case study of the Keeryin Mineral Concentration Area, Sichuan Province

LI Nan1,2,3(), YIN Shitao1,4, LIU Bingli2, XIAO Keyan1, WANG Chenghui1, DAI Hongzhang1, SONG Xianglong1   

  1. 1. Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China
    2. School of Mathematical Sciences, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610051, China
    3. National Key Laboratory of Deep Earth Exploration and Mineral Exploration, Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China
    4. China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2025-03-24 Revised:2025-04-09 Online:2025-07-25 Published:2025-08-04

Abstract:

With the rapid advancement of AI and big data, machine learning-based mineral prospectivity mapping has become a research hotspot. However, models with deeply nested, nonlinear structures and abstract representations often exhibit opaque “black-box” characteristics. This lack of interpretability between predictions and metallogenic processes limits model generalization and reliability. To address this, we propose a knowledge-data driven interpretable prediction method. First, the Best-Worst Method(BWM) is used to derive geological feature weights for constructing an ensemble model, enhancing its performance. A multi-scale, multi-dimensional interpretability framework spanning from global to local levels and from feature-level to sample-level interpretations is then applied to deconstruct results and evaluate feature importance. Expert-guided corrections, informed by field validation, further refine the predictions, thereby forming a closed loop of knowledge embedding and discovery. This process improves workflow transparency and result reliability. Applied to the Keeryin area in Sichuan, the method identified eight high-potential Class A targets, occupying only 6.58% of the study area yet containing 84% of the known deposits. Key predictive features included remote sensing spectral response of albite/albite spectral signature, total alkali (Na2O+K2O) content, ring structures, Li/La ratio, and two-mica granite—as validated by their strong spatial correlation with known pegmatite-type lithium deposits in the field.

Key words: mineral resource quantitative prediction, Keeryin Mining Area, knowledge embedding, integrated learning, interpretability, field validation

CLC Number: