地学前缘 ›› 2010, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (5): 254-262.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

卫星热红外地震短临预测方法研究

强祖基,马蔼乃,曾佐勋,王杰   

  1. 1中国地质大学(武汉) 教育部 长江三峡库区地质灾害研究中心,  湖北 武汉 430074
    2北京大学 遥感与地理信息系统研究所, 北京 100871
    3中国地震局 地质研究所, 北京 100029
  • 收稿日期:2009-08-20 修回日期:2009-11-10 出版日期:2010-09-15 发布日期:2010-10-22
  • 作者简介:强祖基(1932—),男,博士,教授,研究员,长期从事构造地质、遥感、地震临震预测研究。E-mail: zujiqiang@sina.com
  • 基金资助:

    教育部“长江三峡库区地质灾害研究”国家级优势学科创新平台建设项目

 A study of the method of satellite thermal infrared earthquake prediction in imminence. 

  1. 1Three Gorges Research Center for Geohazard, Ministry of Education, China University of Geosciences(Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
    2Institute of Remote Sensing and Geographical Informational System, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
    3Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China
  • Received:2009-08-20 Revised:2009-11-10 Online:2010-09-15 Published:2010-10-22

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摘要：

文章扼要介绍卫星热红外亮温异常的基本原理,分析建立地震短临预测遥感信息模型,通过11 a试验性预报实践和几个地震的案例,如南海东沙地震,台湾集集大地震,震例还有内蒙包头地震,美国华盛顿州奥林匹亚地震及印尼苏门答腊巨震等。从作为震兆的亮温异常提升到热应力场,对预测地震震中更加可靠和更有说服力,说明此项技术具有实际应用前景。

关键词: 地震短临预测, 卫星热红外, 热应力场, 台湾集集大地震, 美国华盛顿州奥林匹亚地震, 印尼苏门答腊巨震

Abstract:

 In this paper, we introduce briefly the fundamental principles of satellite thermal infrared brightness temperature anomalies, and analyze and establish the model of remote sensing information of earthquake prediction in imminence. In the past 11 years, the tests of earthquake prediction proved that this technique has good application prospects. Two earthquake events of Dongsha and Jiji strong earthquakes were successfully forecasted, and three earthquakes that occurred in Baotou, China; Olympia, WA, USA; and Sumatera, Indonesia have been taken as case studies. This method uses the temperature increasing anomalies to explore the thermal infrared stress field and uses the thermal stress field as a precursor of an impending earthquake, which thus can provide the position of coming earthquake epicenter clearly.

Key words: earthquake prediction in imminence, satellite thermal infrared, hot stress field, Jiji strong earthquake in Taiwan, Olympia earthquake, WA, USA, Sumatera earthquake, Indonesia

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